Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.028981 0.031678 0.034345 0.037174 0.040085 0.042988 0.046098
2024-12-29 0.023528 0.027865 0.032270 0.037053 0.042075 0.047173 0.052721
2025-01-05 0.019508 0.024894 0.030495 0.036693 0.043304 0.050102 0.057581
2025-01-12 0.016261 0.022361 0.028852 0.036156 0.044053 0.052257 0.061362
2025-01-19 0.012998 0.019511 0.026624 0.034770 0.043694 0.053058 0.063531
2025-01-26 0.011686 0.018725 0.026555 0.035630 0.045655 0.056241 0.068137
2025-02-02 0.010079 0.017460 0.025846 0.035692 0.046665 0.058325 0.071491
2025-02-09 0.008144 0.015650 0.024408 0.034849 0.046604 0.059182 0.073460
2025-02-16 0.007038 0.014765 0.023979 0.035091 0.047693 0.061245 0.076683
2025-02-23 0.005882 0.013718 0.023297 0.034993 0.048360 0.062806 0.079324
2025-03-02 0.004757 0.012606 0.022475 0.034687 0.048753 0.064032 0.081565
2025-03-09 0.004006 0.011935 0.022150 0.034927 0.049733 0.065880 0.084458
2025-03-16 0.002723 0.010439 0.020867 0.034160 0.049729 0.066817 0.086569
2025-03-23 0.001828 0.009396 0.020136 0.034067 0.050530 0.068699 0.089778
2025-03-30 0.001025 0.008278 0.019234 0.033722 0.051010 0.070198 0.092543
2025-04-06 0.000393 0.007149 0.018232 0.033202 0.051247 0.071391 0.094938
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005674 0.016623 0.031860 0.050472 0.071402 0.095984
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005433 0.016761 0.032693 0.052241 0.074276 0.100197
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004830 0.016312 0.032753 0.053071 0.076064 0.103177
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003868 0.015217 0.031937 0.052828 0.076602 0.104737
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003450 0.014946 0.032171 0.053824 0.078544 0.107852
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002928 0.014445 0.032076 0.054406 0.079993 0.110399
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002372 0.013813 0.031779 0.054724 0.081123 0.112570